MISSILES IN THE KITCHEN? EFFECT OF THE US-ISRAEL-IRAN CONFLICT ON FOOD SECURITY IN NIGERIA

Abstract

The latest layer of conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran which began in early 2026 has emerged as one of the biggest global conflicts in contemporary times. Unsurprisingly, the fallout of the conflict has taken a huge toll on different aspects of human security. This paper therefore examines the socio-economic and food security effects of the conflict particularly in Nigeria where food security remains one of the major challenges. The study employed a secondary research method by looking at existing literature studies and media reports. The findings reveal the negative effect of the conflict on the Nigerian economy, especially due to its heavy reliance on crude oil, thereby resulting in higher pump prices of all petroleum products, ultimately resulting in higher cost of transportation, goods and services. In terms of food security, the study also reveals that continued pressure on the shipping routes, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, could result to higher freight costs, higher insurance premiums, and fewer ships willing to enter this region will ultimately lead to more expensive food worldwide. The study concludes that the conflict could further deepen food security challenges in Nigeria if no diplomatic resolution is reached. The study therefore recommends the urgent need for Nigeria to reduce its dependence on imported food. To do this, policy makers need to invest more in local agricultural production.